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Category Archives: Commentary

(Re-posted from 47 Watch).

The State Department, under the stewardship of Secretary Marco Rubio, has just dropped a bombshell determination that’s about as subtle as a foghorn in a library.

You can/should review the Federal Register notice before continuing. There is a markdown formatted version of this on the 47 Watch knot.

In a nutshell, they’ve decided that pretty much everything involving borders, immigration, and international trade should now be considered a “foreign affairs function.”

Why does this matter?

Well, it’s because this administrative magic trick exempts these activities from the Administrative Procedure Act — a law that ensures the government can’t just make sweeping changes without telling anyone. It’s like democracy’s version of “no take-backsies.”

Let’s break down just some of the potential consequences:

  1. The “Surprise Border Policy” Scenario: Imagine waking up to find out the rules for entering or leaving the country have changed overnight. It’s like showing up to a potluck and finding out it’s now a formal dinner party — and you’re the only one in flip-flops.

  2. The “Your Phone is Our Phone” Situation: Border agents could potentially get more power to access your devices. Hope you’re ready to share your entire camera roll with strangers in uniform (who will all be employees of a private company, soon)!

  3. The “Economic Whiplash” Effect: The government could slap trade restrictions on countries faster than you can say “global supply chain disruption.” It’s like playing economic Jenga, but with real people’s livelihoods.

This determination could lead to policies being implemented without public input or oversight. It’s like the government putting on noise-canceling headphones while making decisions that affect millions of lives.

So, what can we do?

Well, it’s time (again) to make some noise.

Write to your representatives, call your senators, and make your voice heard.

Let’s shine a light on this issue before we wake up in a country where border policy is decided by whether the angrily-tossed plate with condiments on it hits the wall ketchup-side up or down.

If you’re looking for something to riff from when contacting your representative, this is what I’m emailing, printing-and-mailing, and calling (on Monday) my reps with:

——

As a [what you do + where you reside], I strongly oppose the determination to classify all efforts related to border control, immigration, and cross-border transfers as “foreign affairs functions” under the Administrative Procedure Act (APA).

This determination poses significant risks to transparency, accountability, and the fundamental principles of democratic governance. By exempting these critical areas from APA requirements, we risk implementing far-reaching policies without proper public scrutiny or input. This is particularly concerning given the complex, nuanced nature of immigration and border security issues.

The broad scope of this determination, encompassing “people, goods, services, data, technology, and other items,” is alarmingly vague and could lead to overreach in areas such as digital privacy and trade. As someone deeply involved in data science and security, I foresee potential abuses in data collection and surveillance that could infringe on civil liberties and hinder technological innovation.

Furthermore, this determination may exceed executive authority and violate the separation of powers. The Constitution grants Congress, not the executive branch, the power to establish a “uniform Rule of Naturalization” (Article I, Section 8, Clause 4). This sweeping reclassification appears to usurp congressional authority over immigration law.

From a national security perspective, while rapid response capabilities are important, the lack of public input and oversight could lead to poorly conceived policies that actually harm our security interests. Hastily implemented changes could disrupt critical international relationships, intelligence sharing, and cooperative law enforcement efforts.

I urge you to reconsider this determination. Instead, focus on improving existing processes within the current legal framework, ensuring that changes to immigration and border policies remain subject to proper public scrutiny and democratic checks and balances.

On March 10, 2025, Xitter experienced major service disruptions throughout the day. Users couldn’t access the platform on both mobile apps and the website. Here’s what happened and why it matters.

What Happened?

X suffered multiple waves of outages starting early Monday morning:

  • First wave: Around 6:00 AM Eastern Time, affecting about 20,000 users
  • Second wave: Around 10:00 AM ET, with over 40,000 users reporting problems
  • Third wave: Between 11:00 AM and noon, affecting nearly 30,000 users

People trying to use Xitter saw loading symbols, error messages saying “Something went wrong. Try reloading,” or couldn’t access the service at all.

Who Was Behind It?

A pro-Palestinian hacking group called Dark Storm Team claimed responsibility for the attack. They posted on their Telegram channel: “Twitter has been taken offline by Dark Storm Team,” along with screenshots showing connection failures from different global locations.

Dark Storm Team has been active since around 2023 and is known for targeting organizations in Israel, Europe, and the United States. According to security experts, the group specializes in DDoS attacks and has a pro-Palestinian orientation.

What Did Elon Musk Say?

Elon Musk, Xitter’s owner, acknowledged the attack several hours after it began: “There was (still is) a massive cyberattack against Xitter. We get attacked every day, but this was done with a lot of resources. Either a large, coordinated group and/or a country is involved.”

Later, in an interview with Fox Business, Musk made a controversial claim connecting the attack to Ukraine: “We’re not sure exactly what happened but there was a massive cyberattack to try and bring down the Xitter system with IP addresses originating in the Ukraine area.” He provided no evidence to support this claim.

What Was the Reaction?

Cybersecurity experts expressed significant skepticism about Musk’s Ukraine claim:

  • They pointed out that attack origin IP addresses can be easily masked or manipulated
  • Attackers routinely route activities through compromised systems in other countries

Ukrainian officials firmly denied any involvement. Oleksii Merezhko, chairman of Ukraine’s parliamentary Foreign Affairs Committee, stated that the Ukrainian government had “absolutely” no part in the alleged cyberattack on Xitter.

Ed Krassenstein, who claimed to have communicated with Dark Storm’s leader, contradicted Musk’s assertion. According to screenshots shared online, the group responded to the Ukraine claim by saying: “Elon Musk must provide evidence for his claim, and we will provide evidence for ours.” They allegedly threatened further attacks, warning “We can attack again. A stronger attack this time, not only on Xitter but Tesla and others.”

What Type of Attack Was It?

The incident was a distributed denial-of-service (DDoS) attack. These attacks work by:
– Overwhelming a platform’s servers with excessive traffic
– Causing slowdowns or complete outages by exhausting available resources
– Using compromised devices (forming a “botnet”) to send overwhelming amounts of data

Cybersecurity experts described this attack as “far beyond simple DoS attempts,” involving “full-scale DDoS assaults, combined with sophisticated botnet activity, credential stuffing, API abuse, and targeted application-layer attacks designed to cripple operations.”

How Did Xitter Respond?

Xitter implemented Cloudflare’s DDoS protection services to mitigate the impact. This defensive measure introduced captcha verification for suspicious IP addresses generating too many requests. By evening, the platform had largely recovered, though some users continued to experience intermittent issues.

I’m not surprised Cloudflare helps protect Nazis, but it’d be nice to live in a universe where they all crawled back under their rocks for good.

(This post originally published on 47 Watch)

Recent administrative changes at the Social Security Administration (SSA) reveal a concerning pattern of decisions that disproportionately impact vulnerable populations while being implemented in ways that limit public awareness and oversight. Two specific policy reversals highlight this trend: the reinstatement of 100% benefit withholding for overpayments and the termination of “Enumeration at Birth” contracts in several states.

The Overpayment Recovery Rate Reversal

On March 7, 2025, the SSA quietly announced it would revert to withholding 100% of monthly benefits from recipients with overpayments, effective March 27, 2025. This reverses a significant reform implemented just one year prior, in March 2024, when the agency reduced the default withholding rate from 100% to 10% of monthly benefits.

The 2024 reform had been implemented specifically to prevent vulnerable beneficiaries from facing homelessness or inability to pay for basic necessities when their entire benefit was withheld. As former Commissioner Martin O’Malley stated, the previous practice was “unconscionable” when it left people “facing homelessness or unable to pay bills, because Social Security withheld their entire payment for recovery of an overpayment.”

Data from the SSA showed the 2024 policy change had measurable positive impacts:

  • The number of people newly placed in full withholding plummeted from 6,771 in February to just 51 in September 2024
  • Approximately 200,000 beneficiaries were able to maintain 90% of their benefits during repayment
 

While beneficiaries can still appeal for hardship waivers to reduce the withholding rate, the appeals process now faces significant delays — reportedly up to 200 days due to staffing shortages at SSA offices. This administrative bottleneck creates a de facto policy of 100% withholding for extended periods, even for those who would qualify for reduced rates.

Acting Commissioner Lee Dudek has framed the reversal as fulfilling the agency’s “significant responsibility to be good stewards of the trust funds for the American people,” estimating the change would increase overpayment recoveries by approximately $7 billion over the next decade.

The Enumeration at Birth Contract Terminations

In a separate but similarly concerning move, the SSA terminated “Enumeration at Birth” contracts with several states, including Maine, in February 2025. These contracts, which had been operating efficiently since 1980, allowed parents to register newborns for Social Security numbers through a simple automated hospital process.

The termination means parents must now physically visit Social Security offices with their newborns and documentation to apply for numbers — a significant burden in rural states like Maine with sparse populations and limited SSA offices. After public backlash and pressure from congressional representatives, Acting Commissioner Dudek issued an apology and claimed he would “reinstate” the contracts.

However, as numerous administrative experts have pointed out, federal contracts cannot simply be “reinstated” after termination. The entire contracting process must start over, which is:

  1. More expensive than maintaining the original contracts
  2. Time-consuming, especially with reduced SSA staff
  3. Creates unnecessary burdens for new parents in the meantime
 

Notably, the contracts were terminated in six states, all of which have Democratic representatives in Congress, suggesting potential political targeting. Maine’s governer — Janet Mills — is also embroiled in a fight with Trump and his administration over rights of transgender citizens.

The terminations were supposedly conducted to save money (approximately $77,000 for a five-year contract base), but will likely result in higher administrative costs, less efficient service delivery, and more work for already-strained Social Security offices.

The Pattern of Administrative Weaponization

Both policy changes share several concerning characteristics:

  1. Quiet implementation: Both were announced with minimal publicity, with the overpayment policy change released late on a Friday, a classic tactic to minimize media coverage.

  2. Disproportionate impact on vulnerable populations: Both changes primarily affect those least equipped to navigate bureaucratic hurdles — elderly and disabled beneficiaries in the case of overpayments, and new parents in rural areas for the Enumeration at Birth terminations.

  3. Administrative roadblocks to relief: While both policies theoretically offer pathways for relief (appeals for overpayment withholding, visiting SSA offices for birth enumeration), administrative realities like extended processing times and limited office locations create de facto barriers.

  4. Questionable fiscal justifications: Both changes are justified as fiscal responsibility measures, yet both may ultimately cost more in administrative overhead and downstream social costs than they save.

  5. Appearance of political targeting: The pattern of states affected by the Enumeration at Birth terminations, along with reports of partisan “hotlines” to expedite certain cases, suggests potentially politically motivated implementation.

These administrative changes highlight how consequential policy shifts can occur not through legislative action but through bureaucratic decisions that receive little public attention or congressional oversight. As these policies take effect in the coming weeks, their impact on vulnerable Social Security beneficiaries and new parents will become increasingly apparent.

I sent this as an op-ed to the Portland Press Herald but have no delusion they will ACK it or post even a small part of it.

As a longtime Mainer and independent voter, I have watched Senator Susan Collins’ career with cautious optimism, hoping her self-branded image as a moderate willing to cross party lines might translate into principled leadership. Instead, the first six weeks of 2025 have crystallized a painful truth: Collins has become a hollow figurehead, enabling the most destructive elements of Donald Trump’s agenda while abandoning the Mainers she swore to represent. Her recent actions—from rubber-stamping unconstitutional power grabs to greenlighting devastating cuts to healthcare—demand either immediate course correction or resignation.

Collins’ vote to confirm Russell Vought as White House budget director epitomizes her moral bankruptcy. Vought, architect of the “Project 2025” blueprint to concentrate unchecked executive power, openly advocates allowing presidents to ignore congressionally approved spending—a direct threat to Collins’ own role as Senate Appropriations Chair. Her justification—“Presidents deserve broad discretion”—ignores that Vought’s ideology undermines the Constitution’s separation of powers. This is not moderation; it is complicity in authoritarian overreach.

Her tepid opposition to Trump’s FBI director nominee, Kash Patel, further exposes her impotence. While Collins criticized Patel’s “aggressive political activity”, her lone dissent failed to sway colleagues, allowing confirmation of a man who published an “enemies list” of federal employees. Maine deserved a leader who marshals bipartisan resistance to such extremism, not symbolic gestures devoid of consequence.

Collins’ support for the Senate GOP’s February 2025 budget framework reveals her allegiance to party over constituents. The bill slashes $300 billion from Medicaid—a lifeline for 400,000 Mainers, including rural hospitals already teetering on collapse. Her vote alongside Josh Hawley to reject amendments protecting Medicaid contradicts her 2024 boasts about healthcare funding. This hypocrisy will have dire consequences: Maine’s elderly, disabled, and low-income families face reduced coverage, while hospitals risk closure under reimbursement cuts.

Equally alarming is her silence as Trump’s administration weaponizes budget processes to dismantle agencies. Despite chairing Appropriations, Collins has done nothing to stop Elon Musk’s illegal shutdown of USAID offices in February 2025—a move that locked employees out of critical systems. When asked about Musk’s unconstitutional spending freezes, she offered only vague hopes for judicial intervention. Mainers deserve a fighter, not a bystander.

Collins’ failures are not newfound. Her 2020 defense of Trump’s catastrophic COVID-19 response—claiming he “did a lot right”—ignored his months of denial that left Maine vulnerable. Her 2022 vote to confirm Justice Brett Kavanaugh, despite his role in overturning Roe v. Wade, shattered trust with pro-choice Mainers. Now, as constituent letters flood newspapers pleading for accountability, Collins remains aloof, refusing town halls for over two decades.

Her 2025 appropriations role compounds these betrayals. While securing $5 million for wood heaters, she overlooks existential threats: the Kennebec River dredging project, critical for Navy destroyers, remains underfunded, jeopardizing Bath Iron Works jobs. Meanwhile, her committee advances Trump’s deportation raids and education cuts, policies anathema to Maine’s values.

Collins faces a choice: justify her actions with substance or step aside. If she believes slashing Medicaid strengthens Maine, let her hold a town hall in Biddeford and explain it to families relying on insulin coverage. If Musk’s USAID shutdowns align with constitutional duty, let her debate Angus King on live television. Absent such accountability, her continued presence in office insults Mainers’ intelligence.

The 2026 election looms, with forecasters already labeling her seat a toss-up. But Maine cannot wait. We need leaders who prioritize people over political survival, who confront power rather than coddling it. Susan Collins has forfeited that mantle. It is time for her to reclaim it—or make way for someone who will.

Today, my Senator — Susan Collins — failed in her oath and duty to uphold the Constitution. She voted for the appointment of a traitor to head national intelligence, and is supporting someone for director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) who openly wants to dismantle the foundations of American government. She has done nothing to oppose the Administrative coup we’ve been witnessing since POTUS 47 took office. She is now, fully, a willing collaborator. The Executive branch is now nigh irreparably and wholly corrupted, and the Congress is — effectively — on a leash wielded by the POTUS.

The American system of government was designed with multiple layers of protection against the concentration and abuse of power. While we typically focus on federal checks and balances, states play a paramount role as independent sovereigns in our federal system, particularly when federal safeguards falter. Understanding these state powers is essential for maintaining constitutional governance.

The architects of American federalism deliberately created a system where states retain significant independent authority. This includes control over their law enforcement agencies, National Guard units, and the ability to refuse state resources for federal actions. Perhaps most importantly, states maintain the power to prosecute federal officials who act outside their legal authority and violate state laws. These powers weren’t accidents of history — they were deliberately preserved to prevent federal overreach.

Individual states become even more effective when they work together. Through formal interstate compacts and informal coordination, states can create powerful counterweights to federal overreach. This might involve sharing intelligence about illegal federal activities, coordinating legal responses, or pooling resources to resist unconstitutional actions. When multiple states stand together, their collective influence often exceeds the sum of their individual powers.

States control critical infrastructure and resources that federal authorities rely upon to function effectively. This gives states significant practical leverage through their ability to withhold cooperation on federal programs or impose economic consequences on entities that support illegal federal actions. While these powers should be used judiciously, they provide states with concrete tools to resist federal overreach.

Ultimately, the effectiveness of state resistance to federal overreach depends on democratic legitimacy and public support. State officials must be willing to uphold their constitutional oaths, local law enforcement must maintain order under state authority, and citizens must engage in civil resistance to support legitimate government. This democratic foundation is what transforms state powers from theoretical authorities into practical tools for preserving constitutional order.

It’s important to note that state resistance powers come with significant responsibilities. States must exercise these authorities carefully and only in response to genuine constitutional violations, not mere policy disagreements. The goal is to preserve constitutional order, not to create chaos or unnecessarily disrupt legitimate federal operations.

The distributed nature of American governance remains one of our strongest protections against tyranny. While a corrupt federal official might attempt to misuse power, success would require complicity from state and local institutions across the country. By understanding and preserving state powers to resist federal overreach, we maintain essential safeguards for constitutional governance.

The system of checks and balances becomes most critical precisely when it appears to be failing at the federal level. In these moments, state powers of resistance — exercised responsibly and with democratic support — provide crucial backup systems for preserving constitutional order. Understanding these powers helps ensure they remain available when needed most.

Unfortunately, the “Trump 25” states form a solid base of support across four geographic regions:

  • Southern states: North Carolina, South Carolina, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas, Oklahoma, Texas
  • Outer South/Industrial Midwest: Kentucky, Tennessee, West Virginia, Ohio, Indiana
  • Plains/Agricultural Midwest: North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Iowa, Missouri
  • Mountain states: Montana, Wyoming, Idaho, Utah
  • Plus Alaska
     

Several states are taking concrete actions to support federal initiatives:

  • Texas has signed agreements allowing National Guard to make immigration arrests
  • Indiana and Nebraska have directed law enforcement to cooperate with ICE
  • Tennessee approved measures creating state immigration enforcement positions
  • Florida, Texas, and Nevada governors indicated readiness to mobilize National Guard units
     

Republican-led states are advancing legislation to:

  • Expand cooperation with federal immigration enforcement
  • Support deportation efforts
  • Enable information sharing between state and federal agencies
  • Create new state-level enforcement mechanisms
     

This is just the beginning of their willing capitulation to a corrupt regime. It will only get worse.

I call on Maine’s Governor, Janet Mills, to work with the remaining states to do whatever it takes to uphold democratic principles and the rule of law. Without such a coalition, we will most certainly lose our Republic.

If you’re on Fosstodon, please pop a note to the admins there to ban this blog as well (it’s using the WordPress federation features). We would not want their sensitive sensibilities to be offended by equally “offensive” stuff I have and will post here, as I seem to have done via @hrbrmstr (which they’ve banned without recourse).

I’ll follow up with a more detailed post in a ~week or so, but if you are considering purchasing a Kucht appliance, please, please reconsider your decision. They have repeatedly lied to us (I have proof) and are incapable of manufacturing functioning equipment.

Thanks to them, we are out thousands of dollars and are in the process of contacting the Maine AG and having our personal legal counsel help us to recoup our losses. I’m just thankful our “professional” oven didn’t harm any of our family as it continued to malfunction and degrade whilst the Kucht representatives just ignored us.

I realize you have to be living under a rock in the U.S. to not know that yesterday, was Juneteenth (a portmanteau of “June Nineteenth”). Still, I feel compelled to explain that said date marks the day when federal troops arrived in Galveston, Texas in 1865 to take control of the state and ensure that all enslaved people be freed. (See, Texas has always been kinda horrible when it comes to basic human decency). The arrival of said troops came ~2.5 years after the signing of the Emancipation Proclamation. The day honors the end to slavery in the United States.

GreyNoise (my employer) — like an increasing number of organizations in the U.S. — observes Juneteenth as a company-wide holiday, and I’ll be spending part of today pondering that word, “end”, in the last sentence of the previous paragraph.

There are two major political parties in the U.S. and one just decided, this past Juneteenth weekend, we no longer need the Voting Rights Act of 1965. March 7th of that year was a Sunday, known today as “Bloody Sunday” (it turns out there have been far too many of those kinds of Sundays). It was a day when Alabama state troopers beat & whipped voting rights advocates with nightsticks, and also used chemical weapons on them, in an effort to keep in place discriminatory practices that were extensively used to prevent African Americans from exercising their right to vote.

The act banned literacy tests for voting, required federal oversight over voter registration in areas where less than 50 percent of the non-white population had registered to vote, and authorized the U.S. attorney general to investigate the use of poll taxes in state and local elections. (In 1964, the 24th Amendment made poll taxes illegal in federal elections; poll taxes in state elections were banned in 1966 by the U.S. Supreme Court.)

I’m fairly certain (~95%) — regardless of the party in power — we’ll see the current Supreme Court overturn the state poll tax decision within the next 5-10 years (thankfully, constitutional amendments are a bit harder to wipe way). You can definitely say goodbye to the voting rights act if Republicans gain control of Congress and especially if they regain Congress and the POTUS seat.

Both of those events will make it possible for ~21 states to become even more evil than they already are, and set the stage for a few, awful decades.

I know gas is expensive.

I know food is more expensive than ever.

I know some shelves are bare.

I know lines are longer.

I know we’re still in a pandemic.

I also know that I don’t want to see the devolution of America back to when it was so “great” that we cheered on police when they were treating innocent, peaceful citizens like armed, enemy combatants, and ensured the reign of evil men by making it impossible for large swaths of Americans to vote.

In the fall of 2022 and fall of 2024, we’ll know if we, as a nation, care more about convenience than conscience.

Which side of Juneteenth will you be on when the time comes to choose the path forward?