Just putting a marker out there, that I’m either fundamentally wrong, or we all are f’d this week.
If the latter: I told you so.
Just putting a marker out there, that I’m either fundamentally wrong, or we all are f’d this week.
If the latter: I told you so.
(Re-posted from 47 Watch).
The State Department, under the stewardship of Secretary Marco Rubio, has just dropped a bombshell determination that’s about as subtle as a foghorn in a library.
You can/should review the Federal Register notice before continuing. There is a markdown formatted version of this on the 47 Watch knot.
In a nutshell, they’ve decided that pretty much everything involving borders, immigration, and international trade should now be considered a “foreign affairs function.”
Why does this matter?
Well, it’s because this administrative magic trick exempts these activities from the Administrative Procedure Act — a law that ensures the government can’t just make sweeping changes without telling anyone. It’s like democracy’s version of “no take-backsies.”
Let’s break down just some of the potential consequences:
The “Your Phone is Our Phone” Situation: Border agents could potentially get more power to access your devices. Hope you’re ready to share your entire camera roll with strangers in uniform (who will all be employees of a private company, soon)!
The “Economic Whiplash” Effect: The government could slap trade restrictions on countries faster than you can say “global supply chain disruption.” It’s like playing economic Jenga, but with real people’s livelihoods.
This determination could lead to policies being implemented without public input or oversight. It’s like the government putting on noise-canceling headphones while making decisions that affect millions of lives.
So, what can we do?
Well, it’s time (again) to make some noise.
Write to your representatives, call your senators, and make your voice heard.
Let’s shine a light on this issue before we wake up in a country where border policy is decided by whether the angrily-tossed plate with condiments on it hits the wall ketchup-side up or down.
If you’re looking for something to riff from when contacting your representative, this is what I’m emailing, printing-and-mailing, and calling (on Monday) my reps with:
As a [what you do + where you reside], I strongly oppose the determination to classify all efforts related to border control, immigration, and cross-border transfers as “foreign affairs functions” under the Administrative Procedure Act (APA).
This determination poses significant risks to transparency, accountability, and the fundamental principles of democratic governance. By exempting these critical areas from APA requirements, we risk implementing far-reaching policies without proper public scrutiny or input. This is particularly concerning given the complex, nuanced nature of immigration and border security issues.
The broad scope of this determination, encompassing “people, goods, services, data, technology, and other items,” is alarmingly vague and could lead to overreach in areas such as digital privacy and trade. As someone deeply involved in data science and security, I foresee potential abuses in data collection and surveillance that could infringe on civil liberties and hinder technological innovation.
Furthermore, this determination may exceed executive authority and violate the separation of powers. The Constitution grants Congress, not the executive branch, the power to establish a “uniform Rule of Naturalization” (Article I, Section 8, Clause 4). This sweeping reclassification appears to usurp congressional authority over immigration law.
From a national security perspective, while rapid response capabilities are important, the lack of public input and oversight could lead to poorly conceived policies that actually harm our security interests. Hastily implemented changes could disrupt critical international relationships, intelligence sharing, and cooperative law enforcement efforts.
I urge you to reconsider this determination. Instead, focus on improving existing processes within the current legal framework, ensuring that changes to immigration and border policies remain subject to proper public scrutiny and democratic checks and balances.
On March 10, 2025, Xitter experienced major service disruptions throughout the day. Users couldn’t access the platform on both mobile apps and the website. Here’s what happened and why it matters.
X suffered multiple waves of outages starting early Monday morning:
People trying to use Xitter saw loading symbols, error messages saying “Something went wrong. Try reloading,” or couldn’t access the service at all.
A pro-Palestinian hacking group called Dark Storm Team claimed responsibility for the attack. They posted on their Telegram channel: “Twitter has been taken offline by Dark Storm Team,” along with screenshots showing connection failures from different global locations.
Dark Storm Team has been active since around 2023 and is known for targeting organizations in Israel, Europe, and the United States. According to security experts, the group specializes in DDoS attacks and has a pro-Palestinian orientation.
Elon Musk, Xitter’s owner, acknowledged the attack several hours after it began: “There was (still is) a massive cyberattack against Xitter. We get attacked every day, but this was done with a lot of resources. Either a large, coordinated group and/or a country is involved.”
Later, in an interview with Fox Business, Musk made a controversial claim connecting the attack to Ukraine: “We’re not sure exactly what happened but there was a massive cyberattack to try and bring down the Xitter system with IP addresses originating in the Ukraine area.” He provided no evidence to support this claim.
Cybersecurity experts expressed significant skepticism about Musk’s Ukraine claim:
Ukrainian officials firmly denied any involvement. Oleksii Merezhko, chairman of Ukraine’s parliamentary Foreign Affairs Committee, stated that the Ukrainian government had “absolutely” no part in the alleged cyberattack on Xitter.
Ed Krassenstein, who claimed to have communicated with Dark Storm’s leader, contradicted Musk’s assertion. According to screenshots shared online, the group responded to the Ukraine claim by saying: “Elon Musk must provide evidence for his claim, and we will provide evidence for ours.” They allegedly threatened further attacks, warning “We can attack again. A stronger attack this time, not only on Xitter but Tesla and others.”
The incident was a distributed denial-of-service (DDoS) attack. These attacks work by:
– Overwhelming a platform’s servers with excessive traffic
– Causing slowdowns or complete outages by exhausting available resources
– Using compromised devices (forming a “botnet”) to send overwhelming amounts of data
Cybersecurity experts described this attack as “far beyond simple DoS attempts,” involving “full-scale DDoS assaults, combined with sophisticated botnet activity, credential stuffing, API abuse, and targeted application-layer attacks designed to cripple operations.”
Xitter implemented Cloudflare’s DDoS protection services to mitigate the impact. This defensive measure introduced captcha verification for suspicious IP addresses generating too many requests. By evening, the platform had largely recovered, though some users continued to experience intermittent issues.
I’m not surprised Cloudflare helps protect Nazis, but it’d be nice to live in a universe where they all crawled back under their rocks for good.
(This post originally published on 47 Watch)
Recent administrative changes at the Social Security Administration (SSA) reveal a concerning pattern of decisions that disproportionately impact vulnerable populations while being implemented in ways that limit public awareness and oversight. Two specific policy reversals highlight this trend: the reinstatement of 100% benefit withholding for overpayments and the termination of “Enumeration at Birth” contracts in several states.
On March 7, 2025, the SSA quietly announced it would revert to withholding 100% of monthly benefits from recipients with overpayments, effective March 27, 2025. This reverses a significant reform implemented just one year prior, in March 2024, when the agency reduced the default withholding rate from 100% to 10% of monthly benefits.
The 2024 reform had been implemented specifically to prevent vulnerable beneficiaries from facing homelessness or inability to pay for basic necessities when their entire benefit was withheld. As former Commissioner Martin O’Malley stated, the previous practice was “unconscionable” when it left people “facing homelessness or unable to pay bills, because Social Security withheld their entire payment for recovery of an overpayment.”
Data from the SSA showed the 2024 policy change had measurable positive impacts:
While beneficiaries can still appeal for hardship waivers to reduce the withholding rate, the appeals process now faces significant delays — reportedly up to 200 days due to staffing shortages at SSA offices. This administrative bottleneck creates a de facto policy of 100% withholding for extended periods, even for those who would qualify for reduced rates.
Acting Commissioner Lee Dudek has framed the reversal as fulfilling the agency’s “significant responsibility to be good stewards of the trust funds for the American people,” estimating the change would increase overpayment recoveries by approximately $7 billion over the next decade.
In a separate but similarly concerning move, the SSA terminated “Enumeration at Birth” contracts with several states, including Maine, in February 2025. These contracts, which had been operating efficiently since 1980, allowed parents to register newborns for Social Security numbers through a simple automated hospital process.
The termination means parents must now physically visit Social Security offices with their newborns and documentation to apply for numbers — a significant burden in rural states like Maine with sparse populations and limited SSA offices. After public backlash and pressure from congressional representatives, Acting Commissioner Dudek issued an apology and claimed he would “reinstate” the contracts.
However, as numerous administrative experts have pointed out, federal contracts cannot simply be “reinstated” after termination. The entire contracting process must start over, which is:
Notably, the contracts were terminated in six states, all of which have Democratic representatives in Congress, suggesting potential political targeting. Maine’s governer — Janet Mills — is also embroiled in a fight with Trump and his administration over rights of transgender citizens.
The terminations were supposedly conducted to save money (approximately $77,000 for a five-year contract base), but will likely result in higher administrative costs, less efficient service delivery, and more work for already-strained Social Security offices.
Both policy changes share several concerning characteristics:
Disproportionate impact on vulnerable populations: Both changes primarily affect those least equipped to navigate bureaucratic hurdles — elderly and disabled beneficiaries in the case of overpayments, and new parents in rural areas for the Enumeration at Birth terminations.
Administrative roadblocks to relief: While both policies theoretically offer pathways for relief (appeals for overpayment withholding, visiting SSA offices for birth enumeration), administrative realities like extended processing times and limited office locations create de facto barriers.
Questionable fiscal justifications: Both changes are justified as fiscal responsibility measures, yet both may ultimately cost more in administrative overhead and downstream social costs than they save.
Appearance of political targeting: The pattern of states affected by the Enumeration at Birth terminations, along with reports of partisan “hotlines” to expedite certain cases, suggests potentially politically motivated implementation.
These administrative changes highlight how consequential policy shifts can occur not through legislative action but through bureaucratic decisions that receive little public attention or congressional oversight. As these policies take effect in the coming weeks, their impact on vulnerable Social Security beneficiaries and new parents will become increasingly apparent.
I sent this as an op-ed to the Portland Press Herald but have no delusion they will ACK it or post even a small part of it.
As a longtime Mainer and independent voter, I have watched Senator Susan Collins’ career with cautious optimism, hoping her self-branded image as a moderate willing to cross party lines might translate into principled leadership. Instead, the first six weeks of 2025 have crystallized a painful truth: Collins has become a hollow figurehead, enabling the most destructive elements of Donald Trump’s agenda while abandoning the Mainers she swore to represent. Her recent actions—from rubber-stamping unconstitutional power grabs to greenlighting devastating cuts to healthcare—demand either immediate course correction or resignation.
Collins’ vote to confirm Russell Vought as White House budget director epitomizes her moral bankruptcy. Vought, architect of the “Project 2025” blueprint to concentrate unchecked executive power, openly advocates allowing presidents to ignore congressionally approved spending—a direct threat to Collins’ own role as Senate Appropriations Chair. Her justification—“Presidents deserve broad discretion”—ignores that Vought’s ideology undermines the Constitution’s separation of powers. This is not moderation; it is complicity in authoritarian overreach.
Her tepid opposition to Trump’s FBI director nominee, Kash Patel, further exposes her impotence. While Collins criticized Patel’s “aggressive political activity”, her lone dissent failed to sway colleagues, allowing confirmation of a man who published an “enemies list” of federal employees. Maine deserved a leader who marshals bipartisan resistance to such extremism, not symbolic gestures devoid of consequence.
Collins’ support for the Senate GOP’s February 2025 budget framework reveals her allegiance to party over constituents. The bill slashes $300 billion from Medicaid—a lifeline for 400,000 Mainers, including rural hospitals already teetering on collapse. Her vote alongside Josh Hawley to reject amendments protecting Medicaid contradicts her 2024 boasts about healthcare funding. This hypocrisy will have dire consequences: Maine’s elderly, disabled, and low-income families face reduced coverage, while hospitals risk closure under reimbursement cuts.
Equally alarming is her silence as Trump’s administration weaponizes budget processes to dismantle agencies. Despite chairing Appropriations, Collins has done nothing to stop Elon Musk’s illegal shutdown of USAID offices in February 2025—a move that locked employees out of critical systems. When asked about Musk’s unconstitutional spending freezes, she offered only vague hopes for judicial intervention. Mainers deserve a fighter, not a bystander.
Collins’ failures are not newfound. Her 2020 defense of Trump’s catastrophic COVID-19 response—claiming he “did a lot right”—ignored his months of denial that left Maine vulnerable. Her 2022 vote to confirm Justice Brett Kavanaugh, despite his role in overturning Roe v. Wade, shattered trust with pro-choice Mainers. Now, as constituent letters flood newspapers pleading for accountability, Collins remains aloof, refusing town halls for over two decades.
Her 2025 appropriations role compounds these betrayals. While securing $5 million for wood heaters, she overlooks existential threats: the Kennebec River dredging project, critical for Navy destroyers, remains underfunded, jeopardizing Bath Iron Works jobs. Meanwhile, her committee advances Trump’s deportation raids and education cuts, policies anathema to Maine’s values.
Collins faces a choice: justify her actions with substance or step aside. If she believes slashing Medicaid strengthens Maine, let her hold a town hall in Biddeford and explain it to families relying on insulin coverage. If Musk’s USAID shutdowns align with constitutional duty, let her debate Angus King on live television. Absent such accountability, her continued presence in office insults Mainers’ intelligence.
The 2026 election looms, with forecasters already labeling her seat a toss-up. But Maine cannot wait. We need leaders who prioritize people over political survival, who confront power rather than coddling it. Susan Collins has forfeited that mantle. It is time for her to reclaim it—or make way for someone who will.
Today, my Senator — Susan Collins — failed in her oath and duty to uphold the Constitution. She voted for the appointment of a traitor to head national intelligence, and is supporting someone for director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) who openly wants to dismantle the foundations of American government. She has done nothing to oppose the Administrative coup we’ve been witnessing since POTUS 47 took office. She is now, fully, a willing collaborator. The Executive branch is now nigh irreparably and wholly corrupted, and the Congress is — effectively — on a leash wielded by the POTUS.
The American system of government was designed with multiple layers of protection against the concentration and abuse of power. While we typically focus on federal checks and balances, states play a paramount role as independent sovereigns in our federal system, particularly when federal safeguards falter. Understanding these state powers is essential for maintaining constitutional governance.
The architects of American federalism deliberately created a system where states retain significant independent authority. This includes control over their law enforcement agencies, National Guard units, and the ability to refuse state resources for federal actions. Perhaps most importantly, states maintain the power to prosecute federal officials who act outside their legal authority and violate state laws. These powers weren’t accidents of history — they were deliberately preserved to prevent federal overreach.
Individual states become even more effective when they work together. Through formal interstate compacts and informal coordination, states can create powerful counterweights to federal overreach. This might involve sharing intelligence about illegal federal activities, coordinating legal responses, or pooling resources to resist unconstitutional actions. When multiple states stand together, their collective influence often exceeds the sum of their individual powers.
States control critical infrastructure and resources that federal authorities rely upon to function effectively. This gives states significant practical leverage through their ability to withhold cooperation on federal programs or impose economic consequences on entities that support illegal federal actions. While these powers should be used judiciously, they provide states with concrete tools to resist federal overreach.
Ultimately, the effectiveness of state resistance to federal overreach depends on democratic legitimacy and public support. State officials must be willing to uphold their constitutional oaths, local law enforcement must maintain order under state authority, and citizens must engage in civil resistance to support legitimate government. This democratic foundation is what transforms state powers from theoretical authorities into practical tools for preserving constitutional order.
It’s important to note that state resistance powers come with significant responsibilities. States must exercise these authorities carefully and only in response to genuine constitutional violations, not mere policy disagreements. The goal is to preserve constitutional order, not to create chaos or unnecessarily disrupt legitimate federal operations.
The distributed nature of American governance remains one of our strongest protections against tyranny. While a corrupt federal official might attempt to misuse power, success would require complicity from state and local institutions across the country. By understanding and preserving state powers to resist federal overreach, we maintain essential safeguards for constitutional governance.
The system of checks and balances becomes most critical precisely when it appears to be failing at the federal level. In these moments, state powers of resistance — exercised responsibly and with democratic support — provide crucial backup systems for preserving constitutional order. Understanding these powers helps ensure they remain available when needed most.
Unfortunately, the “Trump 25” states form a solid base of support across four geographic regions:
Several states are taking concrete actions to support federal initiatives:
Republican-led states are advancing legislation to:
This is just the beginning of their willing capitulation to a corrupt regime. It will only get worse.
I call on Maine’s Governor, Janet Mills, to work with the remaining states to do whatever it takes to uphold democratic principles and the rule of law. Without such a coalition, we will most certainly lose our Republic.
If you’re on Fosstodon, please pop a note to the admins there to ban this blog as well (it’s using the WordPress federation features). We would not want their sensitive sensibilities to be offended by equally “offensive” stuff I have and will post here, as I seem to have done via @hrbrmstr (which they’ve banned without recourse).
Trump’s Retaliation Against Chris Krebs — and the Cybersecurity Industry’s Deafening Silence
Chris Krebs, the former director of the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA), was fired by Donald Trump in 2020 for publicly affirming that the presidential election was secure and free from widespread fraud. Fast-forward to April 2025: Trump, now back in the White House, issued an executive order revoking Krebs’ security clearances and ordering a federal investigation into his conduct, specifically targeting both Krebs and his employer, SentinelOne. The order also suspended clearances for other SentinelOne employees and threatened the company’s ability to do business with the government.
Krebs responded by resigning from SentinelOne to fight the administration’s campaign against him, stating, “This is a fight for democracy, freedom of expression, and the rule of law. I’m ready to give it my all”. SentinelOne’s stock dropped, and the chilling effect on the broader cybersecurity sector was immediate and palpable.
The Industry’s Response: Silence, Not Solidarity
Despite Krebs’ reputation for professionalism and integrity, the cybersecurity industry has, with rare exceptions, responded with silence. Reuters reached out to 33 major cybersecurity firms and three industry groups—only one responded with a comment. Industry leaders, major vendors, and conference organizers have largely avoided public statements. Even companies with direct ties to Krebs, such as Microsoft and CrowdStrike, declined to comment.
This silence is not just disappointing—it’s dangerous. The executive order against Krebs is not merely a personal vendetta; it is a test of constitutional norms and the independence of the cybersecurity profession. By targeting Krebs for telling the truth, the administration is sending a message: dissent—especially when it contradicts the preferred political narrative—will be punished. The industry’s lack of response is, in effect, complicity.
Why This Matters
What Every RSA Attendee Should Do
RSA Conference 2025’s theme is “Many Voices. One Community.” But a community that stays silent in the face of injustice is not united—it is complicit. Every attendee, whether you’re a practitioner, vendor, or “A-lister,” has a responsibility to meet this moment.
When you visit vendor booths or encounter cybersecurity leaders and influencers at RSA, ask them:
Don’t let them dodge. Don’t accept platitudes.
If you’re a vendor or a leader: issue a public statement. Sign an open letter. Organize a session or a panel on defending professional independence. Use your platform—on stage, on social media, in the press—to call out this abuse of power.
If you’re an attendee: demand answers. Refuse to let silence be the industry’s answer to authoritarian overreach.
Remember: Silence is not safety. Silence is capitulation. If the cybersecurity community cannot defend its own when the truth is under attack, then what exactly are we protecting?
This is your moment. Don’t waste it.